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Trump, young men, and the Church
What does voter turnout reveal about the future Church?
What does voter turnout mean for the future church?
There was a red wave this election in a way that certainly surprised me. Trump won the electoral college and the popular vote. But after reviewing the voter turnout, I think I can grasp why things turned out as dramatically as they did. The only reason this really stands out to me is because I think the vote was really swayed by one major group: young men.
"This past Tuesday, Trump received more support from young men than any Republican candidate in more than two decades." ~ @dcoxpolls
— Brad Wilcox (@BradWilcoxIFS)
4:32 PM • Nov 7, 2024
As a young man raising two boys who will be young men, I have vested interest in understanding why there was such a large swing in voting towards Trump. What about his messaging was so attractive towards young men? Or, maybe a better question is, what has led young men to feel like there was no other choice?
Left behind
I think that the biggest difference in voting habits has occurred due to the fact that young men are feeling the pinch of a progressive society as they continue to be left behind. No group has fallen faster than the young white man.
Women are currently completing college degrees at higher rates than their male counterparts.
For decades, women have earned more PhD's than men, more master's degrees, more bachelor's degrees, more associate's degrees. Since 1982, total college degrees for women have outnumbered those for men by 13 million.
An alarming gender gap—but not the one you always hear about.
— Jeff Jacoby (@Jeff_Jacoby)
12:43 AM • Oct 24, 2019
Make no mistake, that as women hold degrees and focus on careers, they will outpace men in terms of income. In some places this is already happening.
Young women are out-earning young men in several U.S. cities
— The Rabbit Hole (@TheRabbitHole84)
8:53 PM • Nov 3, 2024
As far as mate selection goes, a majority of women will not date or marry someone who is perceived lower status than themselves, often viewed in terms of education and income. (So do men).
Both sexes prefer a mate with more education and a higher income; on average, though, the preference is stronger for women than men. (24 countries; N = 1.8 million) ifstudies.org/blog/on-intern…
— Steve Stewart-Williams (@SteveStuWill)
11:25 PM • May 9, 2022
And this explains, in part, the decrease in marriage rates and child-birthing rates. If women are earning more and getting higher education, the percentage of men that fit that criteria is decreasing.
The decline of married parent households is probably the most concerning trend for society over the last 60 years. The two biggest reasons are:
1) Having two parents who are married is almost certainly the single greatest predictor of future success in a kid's life
2) Society… x.com/i/web/status/1…
— Data Driven Investing (@DataDInvesting)
1:46 PM • Nov 7, 2024
Men are so lost in the changing modern landscape, millions are quitting altogether.
Men aren’t working.
There is a massive group of 7 million men aged 22-55 in the US who aren’t working and aren’t looking for work.
Only 10% of them are students.
They spend an average of 2000 hours a year watching screens and half of that time is spent on painkillers.
On top… x.com/i/web/status/1…
— Chris Williamson (@ChrisWillx)
4:00 PM • Apr 13, 2023
For those young men who are married, many find themselves struggling to bring in the required money to provide the lifestyle his family desires. Purchasing a home has become unaffordable for many. Conversations around having children become centered around income.
Why are people so dissatisfied w/ the economy? B/c cumulative inflation since Q4 '20 exceeds 20%, eclipsing earnings growth so that your larger paycheck buys you less; you're demonstrably worse off - almost 4 years and no progress:
— E.J. Antoni, Ph.D. (@RealEJAntoni)
1:12 AM • Oct 19, 2024
In summary: the modern young male is seeing themselves fail to keep up in education, is feeling the unease of being replaced as the breadwinner, is feeling the hopelessness of their purchasing power decrease, and feeling inadequate to provide for a family they desperately want to have.
Young men want to have children more than young women do.
A brand new Pew Research Poll looked at 18-34 year olds.
51% of young adults who are not parents say they would like to have children one day.
30% say they’re not sure.
18% say they don’t want to have children.… x.com/i/web/status/1…
— Chris Williamson (@ChrisWillx)
5:34 PM • Mar 5, 2024
And while they struggle, there is a group in our society that regularly calls them misogynistic, racist, patriarchal, overrepresented, and on and on.
The reality: this is a group of people trying to understand their changing place in society. The story of what life looks like for a young man growing up in this country looks wholly different than it did for previous generations.
Rather than berating them, let’s come together and write a better story.
The role of the future Church
Part of the role of Church is helping disciple the next generation to be Christlike in the midst of a changing broader cultural landscape.
It is teaching men and women how to grapple in a Christian manner the difficulties of a hostile world, a world that does not always look like Jesus and in fact in many ways is contrary to Jesus.
The role of the Church is to identify the differences in culture and in Christianity and help bring light to a better way.
It is creating spaces where we can have clear conversations and healthy disagreements on what modern manhood and womanhood can look like while staying true to a Christian narrative.
It’s about bringing everyone to the table, even the people you think are “oppressors”.
If we as the Church are not helping young men understand their place as beloved and important members, other forces will draw them in.
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